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This NIHR funded systematic review and economic evaluation found that three rapid tests for diagnosing drug resistant tuberculosis were highly accurate and likely to be cost effective in the UK. These tests produce results within one day of obtaining a sample. This is a significant reduction compared with the standard tests which can take about six weeks or even longer to grow the bacteria. Adding rapid testing to current diagnostic pathways could speed up access to the best treatment and shorten the time people without the disease are kept in isolation as a precaution. This could save money, reduce the spread to others, and lower the overall public health risk of tuberculosis.

Why was this study needed?

A 2014 Public Health England report showed that tuberculosis (TB) rates in the UK continue to be among the highest of West European countries. There were 7,892 cases of TB recorded in the UK in 2013, around 12 per 100,000 people. TB that does not respond to two of the standard treatments, called multidrug resistant TB, is becoming more common in the UK. Between 2004 and 2011, the proportion of cases with multidrug resistant TB increased from 1.1% (49/4,504) to 1.6% (86/5,397 cases). Treating multidrug resistant TB can take up to two years and is less likely to be successful. The current diagnostic tests involve growing TB bacteria in the laboratory. This can take 42 days or more to give a result. Earlier diagnosis could accelerate people’s access to the most effective treatment and ensure people without TB are not kept in isolation unnecessarily.

The NIHR funded this systematic review and economic evaluation to see whether rapid tests to diagnose drug resistance were accurate, and to estimate the value of adding these tests to current diagnostic strategies.

What did this study do?

This systematic literature review used robust methodology to identify and assess the quality of 56 studies comparing the diagnostic accuracy of rapid TB tests with standard TB tests. All three commercially available rapid tests were included: INNO-LiPA, GeneXpert MTB/RIF and MBTDRplus. Studies looked at their accuracy for diagnosing TB resistant to two commonly used TB drugs: rifampicin and isoniazid. Where possible, the accuracy results from different studies were pooled using meta-analysis.

The economic evaluation considered 44 different treatment pathways for the different diagnostic strategies examined. These pathways determined which medical treatments and health services people with TB would receive. The cost and health impact of each pathway was estimated in terms of the number of years of good quality life that would be lost or gained as a result of TB and its treatment (quality-adjusted life-years, QALYs).

What did it find?

  • All three commercially available rapid tests showed a high level of accuracy (sensitivity between 94.6% and 96.8%) for correctly diagnosing TB resistant to the drug rifampicin. The rapid tests also correctly ruled out between 98.2% and 99.7% (the test specificity) of people who did not have rifampicin resistant TB.
  • One of the rapid tests (MTBDRplus) was tested for its accuracy for diagnosing TB resistant to the drug isoniazid. This test correctly identified 83.4% of cases of TB that were resistant to isoniazid, and correctly ruled out almost all cases (99.6%) that did not have isoniazid resistant TB.
  • If added to current diagnostic pathways all three rapid tests were predicted to improve the number of years spent in good health and were cost effective. The costs of testing and treatment were similar for both the rapid tests and standard tests.
  • The rapid tests were confirmed to be cost effective for the three ethnic groups that account for a large proportion of TB cases in the UK (Black African, South Asian and Eastern European). The major cost saving of the rapid tests comes from the reduced time spent in isolation until the diagnosis is confirmed.

What does current guidance say on this issue?

The 2011 NICE clinical guideline on tuberculosis recommends diagnosing active TB infection using chest X-rays in combination with collecting multiple sputum (phlegm) samples to identify TB bacteria under a microscope and grow the TB bacteria in the laboratory. Screening for latent TB (Mantoux testing) is recommended for people who may come into contact with people with active infection.

The 2011 NICE guideline recommends that a risk assessment for drug resistance should be made for each patient with TB. If the risk is significant, urgent molecular tests for rifampicin resistance should be performed on sputum material positive for TB or on positive cultures when they become available.

The 2012 NICE public health guideline on identifying and managing tuberculosis among hard-to-reach groups recommends screening high-risk groups such as people who are homeless, people with drug and or alcohol problems, prisoners, or immigrants from countries where TB is common. In 2012 pre-entry TB screening was introduced for migrants from high-risk countries.

In addition to these groups, the 2014 Public Health England guidance also recommends screening healthcare workers and other people in close contact with people with TB or suspected TB.

What are the implications?

Rapid tests for diagnosing TB that is resistant to standard drugs give results within one day of obtaining a sample. This is a significant reduction when compared with the current standard culture test which can take up to 42 days or even longer to grow the bacteria. All three rapid tests in this review had high accuracy for correctly identifying people with and without drug-resistant TB. They were also likely to be more cost-effective than the standard test.

Adding these rapid tests to the current TB diagnostic pathway could accelerate people’s access to the most appropriate TB treatment which would improve their outlook and reduce the spread of TB to others. This could help the NHS achieve its dual goals of reducing the number of TB cases and reducing the wider public health risk of TB.

 

Citation

Drobniewski F, Cooke M, Jordan J, et al. Systematic review, meta-analysis and economic modelling of molecular diagnostic tests for antibiotic resistance in tuberculosis. Health Technol Assess. 2015;19(34):1-188.

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme. This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42011001537.

 

Bibliography

NHS England. NHS England launches £11.5M strategy to wipe out tuberculosis in the UK. London: NHS England; 2015.

NICE. Tuberculosis: Clinical diagnosis and management of tuberculosis, and measures for its prevention and control. CG117. London: National Institute for Health and Care Excellence; 2011.

NICE. Identifying and managing tuberculosis among hard-to-reach groups. PH37. London: National Institute for Health and Care Excellence; 2012.

Public Health England. Tuberculosis screening. London: Public Health England; 2014.

Public Health England. Tuberculosis in the UK: 2014 report. London: Public Health England; 2014.

Produced by the University of Southampton and Bazian on behalf of NIHR through the NIHR Dissemination Centre

 


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Definitions

Tuberculosis (TB) is an airborne infectious disease caused by the bacterium Mycobacterium tuberculosis. In most healthy people the immune system can kill the bacteria. In others, the immune system can’t kill the bacteria but they don’t develop any symptoms. This is called latent TB. Latent TB can eventually progress to active TB in about 1 in 10 people. Active TB causes a persistent cough producing a sometimes bloody phlegm, high temperature, weight loss and lethargy.

Active TB infection can be cured with a six-month course of antibiotic drugs that usually includes rifampicin and isoniazid. To get appropriate treatment people need to be tested for drug-susceptibility.

Multidrug resistant TB is defined as resistance to, at least, rifampicin and isoniazid, the two most powerful first-line anti TB drugs. Multidrug resistant TB has worse outcomes than drug sensitive disease. Treating TB that is resistant to one or both these drugs also takes longer, is much more expensive and can require more toxic drugs.

Sensitivity is one of a set of measures used to show the accuracy of a diagnostic test. Sensitivity is the proportion of people with a disease who are correctly identified as having that disease by the diagnostic test. For example, if a test has a sensitivity of 90%, this means that it correctly identified 90% of the people with the disease, but missed 10% (these people were ‘false negatives’ on the test).

Specificity is another one of a set of measures used to assess the accuracy of a diagnostic test. Specificity is the proportion of people without a disease who are correctly identified as not having that disease by the diagnostic test. For example, if a test has a specificity of 95%, this means that it correctly identified 95% of the people who did not have the disease, but that 5% of people without the disease were incorrectly diagnosed as having the disease (these people were ‘false positives’ on the test).

 

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